Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 12.946221 14.579782 16.417167 18.652416 21.319232 24.425741 28.357859
2025-06-29 10.295486 12.233711 14.583006 17.687664 21.756304 27.015516 34.516538
2025-07-06 8.838715 10.868668 13.451562 17.060419 22.110710 29.154629 40.169230
2025-07-13 8.705642 11.088446 14.277665 19.008026 26.127715 36.968491 55.921882
2025-07-20 8.194337 10.711366 14.209908 19.642192 28.302785 42.475136 69.762553
2025-07-27 7.463304 9.936135 13.467099 19.135410 28.568231 44.882397 78.816739
2025-08-03 7.134869 9.692175 13.454528 19.725686 30.690985 50.943006 97.295172
2025-08-10 6.652462 9.171622 12.960788 19.457929 31.258519 54.213882 111.059098
2025-08-17 6.236257 8.712360 12.511686 19.196571 31.774017 57.476841 126.267824
2025-08-24 5.898206 8.343973 12.168612 19.067597 32.504415 61.355168 145.080317
2025-08-31 5.534264 7.907309 11.674781 18.608365 32.499951 63.585364 160.347223
2025-09-07 5.270345 7.610259 11.385690 18.486124 33.159493 67.546153 183.641404
2025-09-14 4.881272 7.099746 10.719327 17.629949 32.225717 67.581626 194.357104
2025-09-21 4.517334 6.610508 10.057833 16.724140 31.068921 66.829745 202.130749
2025-09-28 4.239638 6.246818 9.587737 16.142790 30.553482 67.701561 217.589922
2025-10-05 4.351310 6.536041 10.283126 17.947605 35.885643 87.037748 340.827983
2025-10-12 4.272165 6.494332 10.377752 18.534193 38.418095 99.132681 449.979798
2025-10-19 4.058368 6.206616 9.996664 18.065475 38.156219 101.773272 502.286902
2025-10-26 3.989482 6.167989 10.078141 18.611384 40.708967 115.687605 676.927372
2025-11-02 3.829022 5.957630 9.816984 18.363808 41.024726 121.262722 794.490435
2025-11-09 3.680521 5.761015 9.569376 18.122060 41.319921 126.973487 935.988907
2025-11-16 3.555736 5.600926 9.382645 18.002730 41.961741 134.586057 1138.714067
2025-11-23 3.405848 5.388004 9.078607 17.577661 41.605402 137.570549 1291.065768